World Cup Group D – Teams, Probabilities, Fixtures & Predictions
Detailed Group D breakdown: advance probability, form, head-to-head outlook and every group-stage fixture.
Group D standings & qualification probabilities
Live probability model for every nation in World Cup Group D. USA currently leads the group on our model. Columns show points, win-draw-loss record, goals for vs against, and our chance to advance to the knockouts and to top the group.
| Team | Pts | Record | Goals | Advance | Win group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 USA | 6 | 2-0-1 | 8:4 | 93% | 43% |
 Australia | 4 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 68% | 23% |
 Paraguay | 4 | 1-1-1 | 2:4 | 43% | 19% |
 Türkiye | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:5 | 12% | 14% |
Team-by-team breakdown for Group D
USA#1
Form: LWLWW
Round of 32
USA World Cup 2026 prediction: 93% chance to reach the round of 16 and 43% chance to win Group D.
Australia#2
Form: LDLW
Round of 32
Australia World Cup 2026 prediction: 68% chance to reach the round of 16 and 23% chance to win Group D.
Paraguay#3
Form: LWDWL
Round of 32
Paraguay World Cup 2026 prediction: 43% chance to reach the round of 16 and 19% chance to win Group D.
Türkiye#4
Form: WLL
Türkiye World Cup 2026 prediction: 12% chance to reach the round of 16 and 14% chance to win Group D.
Group D fixtures & results
USA vs Paraguay
6/13/2026 · Match FinishedSoFi Stadium · InglewoodUSA4 : 1ParaguayAustralia vs Türkiye
6/14/2026 · Match FinishedBC Place · VancouverAustralia2 : 0TürkiyeUSA vs Australia
6/19/2026 · Match FinishedLumen Field · SeattleUSA2 : 0AustraliaTürkiye vs Paraguay
6/20/2026 · Match FinishedLevi's Stadium · Santa ClaraTürkiye0 : 1ParaguayTürkiye vs USA
6/26/2026 · Match FinishedSoFi Stadium · InglewoodTürkiye3 : 2USAParaguay vs Australia
6/26/2026 · Match FinishedLevi's Stadium · Santa ClaraParaguay0 : 0Australia
World Cup Group D 2026: predictions, odds & Live Scores
Looking for the latest World Cup Group D predictions, fifa world cup 2026 group D table, and group D fixtures? Our model combines current form, historical World Cup performance, and squad strength to project who tops Group D and who crashes out. Group D features USA, Australia, Paraguay, Türkiye — each with their own World Cup 2026 qualification odds, top scorer markets, and knockout-stage probabilities.
Whether you searched world cup group d standings, world cup 2026 group D predictions, usa world cup chances, group D fixtures and kick-off times UK, or fifa world cup 2026 group D probability — this page is updated with the latest data straight from our prediction engine.
Frequently searched questions
- Who will win World Cup Group D 2026?
- What are the World Cup Group D fixtures and dates?
- Which teams qualify from Group D to the round of 16?
- What are USA's chances of topping Group D?